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April 24 2006

IGPP geophysicists Kris Walker & Peter Shearer develop new "back-projection" method for rapid determination of earthquake location

Figure 1

Figure 1: Image of an animation showing the details of the Mw 8.6, 28 March 2005 Sumatra rupture. The rupture started at the hypocenter (white star). The black star indicates the Harvard Centroid Moment Tensor location. This image suggests the greatest amount of energy was released to the northeast and southeast of the hypocenter. The linked animation is one of the primary pieces of evidence that suggests the rupture did not unilaterally propagate to the south as first thought, but instead propagated to the north and south at 3.1 ± 0.2 km/s. Click the image to view the complete animation or click here.

IGPP geophysicists Kris Walker and Peter Shearer have developed an improved, automated method to determine the properties and characteristics of fault rupture after a large earthquake. The method is based on an old technique called reverse-time migration or "back-projection". Their technique works by analyzing the P-waves recorded on the global seismic network, and back-projecting them to the source region. This permits the direct imaging of the rupture dynamics within 20-30 minutes following the onset of the earthquake, and from these images the characteristic source properties. These source properties are then used by agencies like the USGS to predict which areas near the epicenter experienced the greatest surface shaking. These predictions are then used by regional hazard response coordinators. Walker and Shearer are working with the USGS to implement this system as part of the Prompt Assessment of Global Earthquakes for Response (PAGER) system. They plan to have a prototype algorithm working there by the end of 2006.

Figure 2

Figure 2: Screenshot of a movie showing a *hypothetical* earthquake and how the back projection technique works on a computer. The surface shaking is recorded with seismometers at stations in different locations (yellow triangles), then projected backwards in time until all the energy meets, which is the location of the earthquake. Click the image to view the complete animation or click here.

A large earthquake is actually comprised of many smaller earthquakes along a long fault patch that ruptures, relieving stresses in the Earth. The primary benefit of the new technique is that it highlights the entire rupture, which provides useful information when trying to predict how much surface damage or shaking occurred. It is also useful when trying to determine the potential for a tsunami after a particular oceanic earthquake.

Figure 3

Figure 3: Screenshot of a quicktime movie of a years worth of earthquakes (1995) and their locations, which outline Earth's plate boundaries. Most of these earthquakes are so small and far away that we usually don't feel them. It's only the rare very large earthquakes that cause widespread death and destruction, which this method will be useful for. Click the image to view the complete animation or click here.

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